Daniel Negreanu Now 8.50 To Win Challenge

Published on November 26th, 2020 1:54 pm EST

Prior to the heads-up battle between Doug Polk and Daniel Negreanu getting underway, Negreanu was roughly 8.50 to win, while Polk was a massive 1.08 favourite.

This meant that a successful $100 wager on Negreanu would have returned a total profit of $750, while a successful $100 bet on Polk would have returned..

$8.

These odds meant that Polk had implied odds of winning of well over 90%, while Negreanu was seen as having about a 11% chance of winning.

To some, Negreanu had practically no shot of winning and the 8.50 line should have been higher. To others, like Mike Matusow, Daniel Negreanu had a much better chance of winning.

Early on in the Challenge, Negreanu surprised many by how well he did against Polk.

In fact, Negreanu actually managed to take a six-figure lead at one point, which caused the odds to shift dramatically.

-

With Polk's Session 11 win over Negreanu, the odds have now shifted back to what they were before the Challenge got underway.

After a total of 5,067 hands, Polk now sits in the lead with a total gain of $264,019.75.

The odds to win the Challenge, according to Pokershares.com, now look like this:

Daniel Negreanu, 8.50
Doug Polk, 1.08

Negreanu backers think that Polk's lead is still relatively small (6 1/2 buy-ins) and that Negreanu would pull ahead with one good session.

Polk backers believe that Polk is the much better player (in heads-up NLHE anyways) and that his lead will only grow as the Challenge continues.

--

Filed Under: Cash Games